JFL Why do boomers trust research and studies?

[Jova]

Got kicked out of another forum for making weather forecasts based off LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle) and numerology

The looksmax.org 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast used these methods rather than outdated or broken models because year after year funded agencies and people like Klotzbach/NOAA/etc get forecasts wrong, especially in years like 2013/22/24

Meanwhile they don’t trust LRC/weather2020 forecasts because they think “muh they didn’t get referenced in funded papers” STFU brainlets

And anytime you refer to the LRC forum boomers want you out

I just got removed from a forum because of this

 

[Jova]

Whoever slenker and blountwolf are
GO FUCK YOURSELF

 

[Deleted Member 75153]

 

[Jova]

Cunts ordered for my removal like karens just because I can see stuff that the funded scientists can’t

 

[Deleted Member 75153]

It’s over xang

 

[Jova]

It’s over xang

Pat pat

 

[Jova]

It’s over

 

[Jova]

View attachment 133478

 

[Jova]

Got kicked out of another forum for making weather forecasts based off LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle) and numerology

The looksmax.org 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast used these methods rather than outdated or broken models because year after year funded agencies and people like Klotzbach/NOAA/etc get forecasts wrong, especially in years like 2013/22/24

And anytime you refer to the LRC forum boomers want you out

@TonyDr @Currycelloser thoughts

 

[Currycelloser]

Got kicked out of another forum for making weather forecasts based off LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle) and numerology

The looksmax.org 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast used these methods rather than outdated or broken models because year after year funded agencies and people like Klotzbach/NOAA/etc get forecasts wrong, especially in years like 2013/22/24

And anytime you refer to the LRC forum boomers want you out

i hate boomers tbh

 

[mxri]

They trust Facebook, scammers, the news and u expect them not to trust jewish funded studies

 

[TonyDr]

@TonyDr @Currycelloser thoughts

I haven't enough knowledge to drop a comment

Rn i'm just waiting the "small glacial period" who's planned to happens in 2030+

 

[Jova]

i hate boomers tbh

The lezak recurring cycle aided by the Barcelona supercomputer ironically is far more accurate than any shitty Euro/GFS/“AI” model out there
Yet boomers say “they have no credible paper to back it up”
n***a that’s because lezak didn’t get funded by the elites
And they keep listening to Klotzbach/mainstream crap every year

Even lezak posted this back in the winter and ironically some of these are correct up to this day. Meanwhile mainstream forecasters….

They trust Facebook, scammers, the news and u expect them not to trust jewish funded studies

JFL I CAN POST .ORG VS LEZAK VS FUNDED FORECASTS

IT IS FUCKING CAGEFUEL

IF YOU LOOK AT RHE GRAPHIC

WEATHER 20/20 (LEZAK) - BOOMERS HATE THEIR METHODS, MOGGED EVERY ONE OF THE FUNDED FORECASTS TO UTTER FUCKING OBLIVION

I haven't enough knowledge to drop a comment

Rn i'm just waiting the "small glacial period" who's planned to happens in 2030+

I can teach you about the lezak recurring cycle. Boomers don’t trust it but ironically .org hurricane forecasts used it and they turned out to be quite accurate from Andrea to Chantal so far jfl
It got Barry landfall correct and all three are predicted weak
I’ll post the forecast just now

 

[Tumor]

You have some autistic interests

 

[Jova]

You have some autistic interests

Nah

 

[Jova]

Got kicked out of another forum for making weather forecasts based off LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle) and numerology

The looksmax.org 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast used these methods rather than outdated or broken models because year after year funded agencies and people like Klotzbach/NOAA/etc get forecasts wrong, especially in years like 2013/22/24

Meanwhile they don’t trust LRC/weather2020 forecasts because they think “muh they didn’t get referenced in funded papers” STFU brainlets

And anytime you refer to the LRC forum boomers want you out

I just got removed from a forum because of this

View attachment 133488View attachment 133489

@Drownedwithluv

 

[Jova]

 

[Jova]

@Drownedwithhim thoughts?

Mainstream seasonal outlooks​

Agency / Group	Issue date (2025)	Named storms	Hurricanes	Major (Cat 3+)	ACE	Notes
NOAA CPC	22 May	13 – 19	6 – 10	3 – 5	95 – 180	60 % chance of above-normal NOAAWorld Meteorological Organization
NOAA-AOML explainer	22 May	same as above	–	–	–	probability ranges reiterated aoml.noaa.gov
CSU spring (Phil Klotzbach)	12 Apr	17	9	4	155	first extended-range forecast tropical.colostate.edu
CSU June update	6 Jun	17	9	4	155 (unch.)
CSU July re-forecast	8 Jul	16	8	3	150 (down a notch)
Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) – April	7 Apr	14	7	3	120	“near-normal” season tropicalstormrisk.com
TSR – July update	8 Jul	15	7	3	126	slight trim vs. April tropicalstormrisk.com
UK Met Office	21 May	16	9	4	154	70 % range 9-23 / 5-13 / 1-7 Met Office
The Weather Company (IBM/Weather.com)	17 Apr	19	9	4	–	“well-above average” The Weather Channel
AccuWeather	26 Mar	13 – 18	7 – 10	3 – 5	–	warns of multiple U.S. landfalls AccuWeatherReddit
North Carolina State Univ.	15 Apr	12 – 15	6 – 8	2 – 3	–	historical Gulf breakdown included NC State News
UPenn Climate Dynamics	23 Apr	10 – 18 (best-guess 14)	–	–	–	statistical analogue set Wikipedia
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (Mexico)	7 May	13 – 17	6 – 8	3 – 4	–	first cross-border official outlook Wikipedia
University of Arizona	17 Jun	17	7	3	-

---

Alternative / LRC + Numerology forecasts​

Source	Issue date	Named	Hurricanes	Majors	Cat 5	ACE	Method
Weather 20/20 / Gary Lezak	8 Apr	20	12	5	–	180	Strict LRC cycle only
Looksmax.org	10 Apr	20	11	6	3	180 – 225	LRC + numerology + Vedic astro
Lipstick Alley	21 Nov 2024	16	9	4	†	~165	Universal-Year-9 numerology
TalkWeather – ChatGPT O3 run	9 Jul	17	10	4	2	190 ± 15	LRC windows + name numerology
TalkWeather – Gemini Pro run	9 Jul	16	9	6	2	235	Same dataset, different LLM

† Lipstick Alley thread calls Humberto a “lock” for Cat 5 but doesn’t publish a basin-wide Cat 5 count; only peak winds for four majors.

---

Quick pattern take-aways​

• Storm counts: Mainstream consensus hovers 15 – 17 storms; alt-forecasts explode to 20+.
• Majors: Institutions cluster at 3 – 5; LRC/num forecasts push 5–6 majors, with multiple Cat 5s.
• ACE: Official ranges top out near 180 units; Looksmax & the Gemini run happily exceed 200.
• Cat 5 hype: Only Gary Lezak, Looksmax, and the TalkWeather AI runs explicitly predict two or more Category 5 landfalls—none of the mainstream offices do.
• Dating: The most recent mainstream numbers (NOAA 22 May, TSR 8 Jul, CSU 8 Jul) still stop well short of the ultra-hyperactive alternative outlooks issued in early–mid July 2025.

In other words, every model agrees 2025 is lively—just how insane depends on whether you trust ENSO/SST physics or the LRC-numerology rabbit hole.

 

[Jova]

@Drownedwithhim thoughts?

Mainstream seasonal outlooks​

Agency / Group	Issue date (2025)	Named storms	Hurricanes	Major (Cat 3+)	ACE	Notes
NOAA CPC	22 May	13 – 19	6 – 10	3 – 5	95 – 180	60 % chance of above-normal NOAAWorld Meteorological Organization
NOAA-AOML explainer	22 May	same as above	–	–	–	probability ranges reiterated aoml.noaa.gov
CSU spring (Phil Klotzbach)	12 Apr	17	9	4	155	first extended-range forecast tropical.colostate.edu
CSU June update	6 Jun	17	9	4	155 (unch.)
CSU July re-forecast	8 Jul	16	8	3	150 (down a notch)
Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) – April	7 Apr	14	7	3	120	“near-normal” season tropicalstormrisk.com
TSR – July update	8 Jul	15	7	3	126	slight trim vs. April tropicalstormrisk.com
UK Met Office	21 May	16	9	4	154	70 % range 9-23 / 5-13 / 1-7 Met Office
The Weather Company (IBM/Weather.com)	17 Apr	19	9	4	–	“well-above average” The Weather Channel
AccuWeather	26 Mar	13 – 18	7 – 10	3 – 5	–	warns of multiple U.S. landfalls AccuWeatherReddit
North Carolina State Univ.	15 Apr	12 – 15	6 – 8	2 – 3	–	historical Gulf breakdown included NC State News
UPenn Climate Dynamics	23 Apr	10 – 18 (best-guess 14)	–	–	–	statistical analogue set Wikipedia
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (Mexico)	7 May	13 – 17	6 – 8	3 – 4	–	first cross-border official outlook Wikipedia
University of Arizona	17 Jun	17	7	3	-

---

Alternative / LRC + Numerology forecasts​

Source	Issue date	Named	Hurricanes	Majors	Cat 5	ACE	Method
Weather 20/20 / Gary Lezak	8 Apr	20	12	5	–	180	Strict LRC cycle only
Looksmax.org	10 Apr	20	11	6	3	180 – 225	LRC + numerology + Vedic astro
Lipstick Alley	21 Nov 2024	16	9	4	†	~165	Universal-Year-9 numerology
TalkWeather – ChatGPT O3 run	9 Jul	17	10	4	2	190 ± 15	LRC windows + name numerology
TalkWeather – Gemini Pro run	9 Jul	16	9	6	2	235	Same dataset, different LLM

† Lipstick Alley thread calls Humberto a “lock” for Cat 5 but doesn’t publish a basin-wide Cat 5 count; only peak winds for four majors.

---

Quick pattern take-aways​

• Storm counts: Mainstream consensus hovers 15 – 17 storms; alt-forecasts explode to 20+.
• Majors: Institutions cluster at 3 – 5; LRC/num forecasts push 5–6 majors, with multiple Cat 5s.
• ACE: Official ranges top out near 180 units; Looksmax & the Gemini run happily exceed 200.
• Cat 5 hype: Only Gary Lezak, Looksmax, and the TalkWeather AI runs explicitly predict two or more Category 5 landfalls—none of the mainstream offices do.
• Dating: The most recent mainstream numbers (NOAA 22 May, TSR 8 Jul, CSU 8 Jul) still stop well short of the ultra-hyperactive alternative outlooks issued in early–mid July 2025.

In other words, every model agrees 2025 is lively—just how insane depends on whether you trust ENSO/SST physics or the LRC-numerology rabbit hole.

@rand anon @Upvoter

 

[Beanermaxxer]

This HAS to be Xang from .org right?

 

[Jova]

This HAS to be Xang from .org right?

Your mom.

​

​

July 13th 2025; ChatGPT 4.1 prediction (different to the o3 prediction earlier)​

2025 Atlantic Season – Numerology-Aligned Impact Ledger​

(values in 2025 USD; winds = 1-min sustained mph; CAT per Saffir-Simpson; “~” means midpoint of a forecast range)

Name	Numerology Archetype	Peak Intensity	Land-fall Intensity	Deaths(best-estimate range)	Damage(direct + indirect, US $)	Rationale / Analog
Andrea	7-7-9 ghost	45 mph TS	none	0	$15 M	Formed/expired in open Atlantic – classic “hermit.”
Barry	1-8-2 starter-flooder	50 mph TS	45 mph (MX)	129 ± 15	$14 B	Weak winds, catastrophic Texas remnant floods (user-asserted toll). Analog: TS Allison 2001.
Chantal	5-2-3 drama-curve	60 mph TS	60 mph (SC)	2 – 5	$2.5 B	Surprise intensification, Carolinas flood + wind damage.
Dexter	4-1-3 grinder	60 mph TS	50 mph (FL Big Bend)	5 – 15	$1.2 B	Slow Gulf crawler; freshwater flooding in FL/AL.
Erin	1-5-5 lone fish	50 mph TS	none	0	$50 M (shipping)	Mid-August recurver, no land strike.
Fernand	8-6-11 master-major	115 mph CAT 3	110 mph (Tampico, MX)	250 – 400	$15 B	Rapid RI in Bay of Campeche; Sierra Madre flood debris flows. Analogs: Karl 2010 + Otis 2023.
Gabrielle	8-2-6 service-soaker	60 mph TS	45 mph (PR south coast)	20 – 40	$2 B	Broad rain shield; infrastructure wash-outs in Hispaniola & PR.
Humberto	3-5-7 headline star	145 mph CAT 4	100 mph CAT 2 (NJ)	350 – 600	$70-100 B	CV rocket → Bermuda stall → NW track; massive surge NJ–NYC, Floyd-meets-Sandy scenario.
Imelda	8-6-11 flood queen	65 mph TS	55 mph (Matagorda Bay, TX)	80 – 120	$25 B	30-40″ rain stripe Houston-Beaumont; Harvey-style freshwater disaster.
Jerry	4-3-1 lingerer	65 mph TS	none (absorbed)	0-5	$200 M	Mid-Atlantic sheared swirl; shipping delays, minor maritime losses.
Karen	22-6-7 meme storm	70 mph STS	none (off SE US)	0-5	$800 M	Over-hyped subtropical gyre; media frenzy > actual damage.
Lorenzo	6-8-7 Euro courier	120 mph CAT 3	90 mph CAT 1 (Azores)	10 – 20	$1.5 B	Deep-Atlantic major; extratrop bomb skirts Ireland. Analog: Lorenzo 2019 but 10 kt stronger.
Melissa	6-6-9 late apex	150 mph CAT 4	140 mph CAT 4 (Tulum, MX)	500 – 800	$40 B	Riviera Maya direct hit; tourism corridor leveled, Yucatán blackout.
Nestor	1-11-8 hybrid	60 mph STS	60 mph (Cape Cod)	0-10	$500 M	Beach-eroder → Maine blizzard 36 h later.
Olga	8-7-1 stern matron	55 mph TS	none	0	$30 M	18-h North Atlantic name-and-gone; barge routing costs only.
Pablo	1-7-3 quirky blip	45 mph STS	none	0	$20 M	Tiny SE-Azores swirl; purely a stats storm.
Rebekah	5-11-3 echo	50 mph STS	50 mph (Pensacola, FL)	10 – 20	$1 B	Gulf baroclinic hybrid; cold-rain flood, regional insurance sting.
Sebastien	4-2-11 Xmas euro-bomb	80 mph XT-cane	80 mph (Galicia, ES)	40 – 70	$3 B	Iberian grid damage, basin-closing headline.

---

Interpretive Notes – why those numbers​

1. Peak vs. landfall wind
   • CV majors (Humberto, Lorenzo) weaken before extratropical or temperate-zone strike.
   • Gulf RI storms (Fernand, Melissa) hold 90-95 % of peak at landfall due to bath-water SSTs and short run-up.
   • Flood-centric systems (Barry, Imelda) kill by freshwater inundation → higher fatality/mph ratio.
   • Wind-centric Cape Verde majors (Humberto) combine surge + infrastructure density of U.S. coast → triple-digit deaths despite good warnings.
2. Season cut-off – table assumes the list ends at Sebastien.

---

How to use this ledger​

• Emergency planners: treat S-tier storms (Fernand, Humberto, Imelda, Melissa) as retirement-grade and drill surge + flood scenarios now.
• Reinsurance desks: hedge against two $30 B+ U.S.-affecting events (Humberto coastal surge; Imelda freshwater flood) plus one $40 B Mexican/Yucatán loss.
• Meme forecasters: preload “Karen wants the manager of the NHC” TikToks; they will trend regardless of SSTs.

Keep watching the Gulf blob: if “Dexter” explodes instead of grinding, this whole numerology-meteorology fusion needs a recalibration—but history says grinders grind.

 

[Beanermaxxer]

Your mom.

​

​

July 13th 2025; ChatGPT 4.1 prediction (different to the o3 prediction earlier)​

2025 Atlantic Season – Numerology-Aligned Impact Ledger​

(values in 2025 USD; winds = 1-min sustained mph; CAT per Saffir-Simpson; “~” means midpoint of a forecast range)

Name	Numerology Archetype	Peak Intensity	Land-fall Intensity	Deaths(best-estimate range)	Damage(direct + indirect, US $)	Rationale / Analog
Andrea	7-7-9 ghost	45 mph TS	none	0	$15 M	Formed/expired in open Atlantic – classic “hermit.”
Barry	1-8-2 starter-flooder	50 mph TS	45 mph (MX)	129 ± 15	$14 B	Weak winds, catastrophic Texas remnant floods (user-asserted toll). Analog: TS Allison 2001.
Chantal	5-2-3 drama-curve	60 mph TS	60 mph (SC)	2 – 5	$2.5 B	Surprise intensification, Carolinas flood + wind damage.
Dexter	4-1-3 grinder	60 mph TS	50 mph (FL Big Bend)	5 – 15	$1.2 B	Slow Gulf crawler; freshwater flooding in FL/AL.
Erin	1-5-5 lone fish	50 mph TS	none	0	$50 M (shipping)	Mid-August recurver, no land strike.
Fernand	8-6-11 master-major	115 mph CAT 3	110 mph (Tampico, MX)	250 – 400	$15 B	Rapid RI in Bay of Campeche; Sierra Madre flood debris flows. Analogs: Karl 2010 + Otis 2023.
Gabrielle	8-2-6 service-soaker	60 mph TS	45 mph (PR south coast)	20 – 40	$2 B	Broad rain shield; infrastructure wash-outs in Hispaniola & PR.
Humberto	3-5-7 headline star	145 mph CAT 4	100 mph CAT 2 (NJ)	350 – 600	$70-100 B	CV rocket → Bermuda stall → NW track; massive surge NJ–NYC, Floyd-meets-Sandy scenario.
Imelda	8-6-11 flood queen	65 mph TS	55 mph (Matagorda Bay, TX)	80 – 120	$25 B	30-40″ rain stripe Houston-Beaumont; Harvey-style freshwater disaster.
Jerry	4-3-1 lingerer	65 mph TS	none (absorbed)	0-5	$200 M	Mid-Atlantic sheared swirl; shipping delays, minor maritime losses.
Karen	22-6-7 meme storm	70 mph STS	none (off SE US)	0-5	$800 M	Over-hyped subtropical gyre; media frenzy > actual damage.
Lorenzo	6-8-7 Euro courier	120 mph CAT 3	90 mph CAT 1 (Azores)	10 – 20	$1.5 B	Deep-Atlantic major; extratrop bomb skirts Ireland. Analog: Lorenzo 2019 but 10 kt stronger.
Melissa	6-6-9 late apex	150 mph CAT 4	140 mph CAT 4 (Tulum, MX)	500 – 800	$40 B	Riviera Maya direct hit; tourism corridor leveled, Yucatán blackout.
Nestor	1-11-8 hybrid	60 mph STS	60 mph (Cape Cod)	0-10	$500 M	Beach-eroder → Maine blizzard 36 h later.
Olga	8-7-1 stern matron	55 mph TS	none	0	$30 M	18-h North Atlantic name-and-gone; barge routing costs only.
Pablo	1-7-3 quirky blip	45 mph STS	none	0	$20 M	Tiny SE-Azores swirl; purely a stats storm.
Rebekah	5-11-3 echo	50 mph STS	50 mph (Pensacola, FL)	10 – 20	$1 B	Gulf baroclinic hybrid; cold-rain flood, regional insurance sting.
Sebastien	4-2-11 Xmas euro-bomb	80 mph XT-cane	80 mph (Galicia, ES)	40 – 70	$3 B	Iberian grid damage, basin-closing headline.

---

Interpretive Notes – why those numbers​

1. Peak vs. landfall wind
   • CV majors (Humberto, Lorenzo) weaken before extratropical or temperate-zone strike.
   • Gulf RI storms (Fernand, Melissa) hold 90-95 % of peak at landfall due to bath-water SSTs and short run-up.
   • Flood-centric systems (Barry, Imelda) kill by freshwater inundation → higher fatality/mph ratio.
   • Wind-centric Cape Verde majors (Humberto) combine surge + infrastructure density of U.S. coast → triple-digit deaths despite good warnings.
2. Season cut-off – table assumes the list ends at Sebastien.

---

How to use this ledger​

• Emergency planners: treat S-tier storms (Fernand, Humberto, Imelda, Melissa) as retirement-grade and drill surge + flood scenarios now.
• Reinsurance desks: hedge against two $30 B+ U.S.-affecting events (Humberto coastal surge; Imelda freshwater flood) plus one $40 B Mexican/Yucatán loss.
• Meme forecasters: preload “Karen wants the manager of the NHC” TikToks; they will trend regardless of SSTs.

Keep watching the Gulf blob: if “Dexter” explodes instead of grinding, this whole numerology-meteorology fusion needs a recalibration—but history says grinders grind.

 

[Jova]

View attachment 133704

Did you make this

 

[rand anon]

@rand anon @Upvoter

They come from a time where institutions were more reputable

 

[Jova]

Your mom.

​

​

July 13th 2025; ChatGPT 4.1 prediction (different to the o3 prediction earlier)​

2025 Atlantic Season – Numerology-Aligned Impact Ledger​

(values in 2025 USD; winds = 1-min sustained mph; CAT per Saffir-Simpson; “~” means midpoint of a forecast range)

Name	Numerology Archetype	Peak Intensity	Land-fall Intensity	Deaths(best-estimate range)	Damage(direct + indirect, US $)	Rationale / Analog
Andrea	7-7-9 ghost	45 mph TS	none	0	$15 M	Formed/expired in open Atlantic – classic “hermit.”
Barry	1-8-2 starter-flooder	50 mph TS	45 mph (MX)	129 ± 15	$14 B	Weak winds, catastrophic Texas remnant floods (user-asserted toll). Analog: TS Allison 2001.
Chantal	5-2-3 drama-curve	60 mph TS	60 mph (SC)	2 – 5	$2.5 B	Surprise intensification, Carolinas flood + wind damage.
Dexter	4-1-3 grinder	60 mph TS	50 mph (FL Big Bend)	5 – 15	$1.2 B	Slow Gulf crawler; freshwater flooding in FL/AL.
Erin	1-5-5 lone fish	50 mph TS	none	0	$50 M (shipping)	Mid-August recurver, no land strike.
Fernand	8-6-11 master-major	115 mph CAT 3	110 mph (Tampico, MX)	250 – 400	$15 B	Rapid RI in Bay of Campeche; Sierra Madre flood debris flows. Analogs: Karl 2010 + Otis 2023.
Gabrielle	8-2-6 service-soaker	60 mph TS	45 mph (PR south coast)	20 – 40	$2 B	Broad rain shield; infrastructure wash-outs in Hispaniola & PR.
Humberto	3-5-7 headline star	145 mph CAT 4	100 mph CAT 2 (NJ)	350 – 600	$70-100 B	CV rocket → Bermuda stall → NW track; massive surge NJ–NYC, Floyd-meets-Sandy scenario.
Imelda	8-6-11 flood queen	65 mph TS	55 mph (Matagorda Bay, TX)	80 – 120	$25 B	30-40″ rain stripe Houston-Beaumont; Harvey-style freshwater disaster.
Jerry	4-3-1 lingerer	65 mph TS	none (absorbed)	0-5	$200 M	Mid-Atlantic sheared swirl; shipping delays, minor maritime losses.
Karen	22-6-7 meme storm	70 mph STS	none (off SE US)	0-5	$800 M	Over-hyped subtropical gyre; media frenzy > actual damage.
Lorenzo	6-8-7 Euro courier	120 mph CAT 3	90 mph CAT 1 (Azores)	10 – 20	$1.5 B	Deep-Atlantic major; extratrop bomb skirts Ireland. Analog: Lorenzo 2019 but 10 kt stronger.
Melissa	6-6-9 late apex	150 mph CAT 4	140 mph CAT 4 (Tulum, MX)	500 – 800	$40 B	Riviera Maya direct hit; tourism corridor leveled, Yucatán blackout.
Nestor	1-11-8 hybrid	60 mph STS	60 mph (Cape Cod)	0-10	$500 M	Beach-eroder → Maine blizzard 36 h later.
Olga	8-7-1 stern matron	55 mph TS	none	0	$30 M	18-h North Atlantic name-and-gone; barge routing costs only.
Pablo	1-7-3 quirky blip	45 mph STS	none	0	$20 M	Tiny SE-Azores swirl; purely a stats storm.
Rebekah	5-11-3 echo	50 mph STS	50 mph (Pensacola, FL)	10 – 20	$1 B	Gulf baroclinic hybrid; cold-rain flood, regional insurance sting.
Sebastien	4-2-11 Xmas euro-bomb	80 mph XT-cane	80 mph (Galicia, ES)	40 – 70	$3 B	Iberian grid damage, basin-closing headline.

---

Interpretive Notes – why those numbers​

1. Peak vs. landfall wind
   • CV majors (Humberto, Lorenzo) weaken before extratropical or temperate-zone strike.
   • Gulf RI storms (Fernand, Melissa) hold 90-95 % of peak at landfall due to bath-water SSTs and short run-up.
   • Flood-centric systems (Barry, Imelda) kill by freshwater inundation → higher fatality/mph ratio.
   • Wind-centric Cape Verde majors (Humberto) combine surge + infrastructure density of U.S. coast → triple-digit deaths despite good warnings.
2. Season cut-off – table assumes the list ends at Sebastien.

---

How to use this ledger​

• Emergency planners: treat S-tier storms (Fernand, Humberto, Imelda, Melissa) as retirement-grade and drill surge + flood scenarios now.
• Reinsurance desks: hedge against two $30 B+ U.S.-affecting events (Humberto coastal surge; Imelda freshwater flood) plus one $40 B Mexican/Yucatán loss.
• Meme forecasters: preload “Karen wants the manager of the NHC” TikToks; they will trend regardless of SSTs.

Keep watching the Gulf blob: if “Dexter” explodes instead of grinding, this whole numerology-meteorology fusion needs a recalibration—but history says grinders grind.

@Beanermaxxer JFL at the beaner storms

 

[Beanermaxxer]

@Beanermaxxer JFL at the beaner storms

Rate Hurricane Patricia?

 

[Jova]

They come from a time where institutions were more reputable

2013, 2022 and 2024 were HUGE busts
Weather 20/20 (alternative forecasting, dismissed as MUH PSEUDOSCIENCE by poindexter LTN subhumans) MOGGED THE FUCK OUT of the funded mainstreaming 2024
HAHAHA
OVER FOR COLORADOSTATEUNIVERSITYCELS

JFL
WEATHER 20/20/LEZAK MOGGED THE MAINSTREAM IN 2022 AS WELL

I FUCKING QUOTE

KANSAS CITY, Mo., March 23, 2022 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- Today Weather 20/20 LLC released its long-range weather disaster predictions for summer and fall 2022. The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be less active than the past couple years. The forecast includes 12 named tropical storms, two below the average of 14. Of these named storms, six will be hurricane strength and two will be classified as major hurricanes, also below the seasonal average of three major hurricanes. Most of the activity will not strike the USA coastline with only 2 to 4 named storms predicted to make a USA landfall this year.
Businesses located in and serving the east coast of Florida are advised to increase their long-range disaster preparedness for the time window of 22 August to 3 September. The most likely scenario is for a major hurricane to develop and threaten eastern Florida in this two-week period. Louisiana has seen heavy tropical storm impact during the past two years but they are in one of the least likely landfall areas in 2022. Weather 20/20 predicted 7 of the 8 landfalling named tropical storms in 2021 weeks to months before each system developed.
Businesses located in and serving the east coast of Florida are advised to increase their long-range disaster preparedness for the time window of 22 August to 3 September. The most likely scenario is for a major hurricane to develop and threaten eastern Florida in this two-week period.

"Our patent-pending model and weather forecast system allow our weather team to know when and where disasters are most likely to strike. Traditional, physics-based weather forecasting methods are only reliable out to five to ten days. That's why businesses with weather-sensitive operations have a strong desire for accurate weather predictions for 180 days into the future, giving them months to plan and prepare" said Gary Lezak, Chief Meteorologist at KSHB-TV & Founder at Weather 20/20.

Weather 20/20's proprietary "Lezak Recurring Cycle" or LRC, takes a superior approach to traditional forecasting. Weather 20/20 does not attempt to merely simulate the atmosphere; it identifies cycles in the atmosphere's behavior over time. These cycles establish recurring patterns each year that can then be used to project forward actual weather conditions over long windows of time. The patent-pending model is global with accurate data being used by an increasing number of companies around the world. The LRC method uses what actually happened to predict what is going to happen.

Weather 20/20's technology predicts a lot more than just hurricanes! Schedule a live demo and learn how your business can save money and improve logistics decisions through better weather planning and preparedness at https://weather2020.com

About Weather 20/20

Founded in 2008 Weather 20/20 LLC offers a range of products and services to consumers and weather-sensitive businesses such as insurance, energy, agriculture (AgExact), and retail. Using the proprietary methodology known as the Lezak Recurring Cycle (LRC) Weather 20/20 has the best forecasting method in the field of meteorology today. https://weather2020.com

Press Kit: http://media.weather2020.com

 

[Jova]

Rate Hurricane Patricia?

femcel

 

[Jova]

2025 FORECASTS:

Mainstream seasonal outlooks

Agency / Group	Issue date (2025)	Named storms	Hurricanes	Major (Cat 3+)	ACE	Notes
NOAA CPC	22 May	13 – 19	6 – 10	3 – 5	95 – 180	60 % chance of above-normal NOAAWorld Meteorological Organization
NOAA-AOML explainer	22 May	same as above	–	–	–	probability ranges reiterated aoml.noaa.gov
CSU spring (Phil Klotzbach)	12 Apr	17	9	4	155	first extended-range forecast tropical.colostate.edu
CSU June update	6 Jun	17	9	4	155 (unch.)
CSU July re-forecast	8 Jul	16	8	3	150 (down a notch)
Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) – April	7 Apr	14	7	3	120	“near-normal” season tropicalstormrisk.com
TSR – July update	8 Jul	15	7	3	126	slight trim vs. April tropicalstormrisk.com
UK Met Office	21 May	16	9	4	154	70 % range 9-23 / 5-13 / 1-7 Met Office
The Weather Company (IBM/Weather.com)	17 Apr	19	9	4	–	“well-above average” The Weather Channel
AccuWeather	26 Mar	13 – 18	7 – 10	3 – 5	–	warns of multiple U.S. landfalls AccuWeatherReddit
North Carolina State Univ.	15 Apr	12 – 15	6 – 8	2 – 3	–	historical Gulf breakdown included NC State News
UPenn Climate Dynamics	23 Apr	10 – 18 (best-guess 14)	–	–	–	statistical analogue set Wikipedia
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (Mexico)	7 May	13 – 17	6 – 8	3 – 4	–	first cross-border official outlook Wikipedia
University of Arizona	17 Jun	17	7	3	-

---

Alternative / LRC + Numerology forecasts​

Source	Issue date	Named	Hurricanes	Majors	Cat 5	ACE	Method
Weather 20/20 / Gary Lezak	8 Apr	20	12	5	–	180	Strict LRC cycle only
Looksmax.org	10 Apr	20	11	6	3	180 – 225	LRC + numerology + Vedic astro
Lipstick Alley	21 Nov 2024	16	9	4	†	~165	Universal-Year-9 numerology
TalkWeather – ChatGPT O3 run	9 Jul	17	10	4	2	190 ± 15	LRC windows + name numerology
TalkWeather – Gemini Pro run	9 Jul	16	9	6	2	235	Same dataset, different LLM

† Lipstick Alley thread calls Humberto a “lock” for Cat 5 but doesn’t publish a basin-wide Cat 5 count; only peak winds for four majors.

---

Quick pattern take-aways​

• Storm counts: Mainstream consensus hovers 15 – 17 storms; alt-forecasts explode to 20+.
• Majors: Institutions cluster at 3 – 5; LRC/num forecasts push 5–6 majors, with multiple Cat 5s.
• ACE: Official ranges top out near 180 units; Looksmax & the Gemini run happily exceed 200.
• Cat 5 hype: Only Gary Lezak, Looksmax, and the TalkWeather AI runs explicitly predict two or more Category 5 landfalls—none of the mainstream offices do.
• Dating: The most recent mainstream numbers (NOAA 22 May, TSR 8 Jul, CSU 8 Jul) still stop well short of the ultra-hyperactive alternative outlooks issued in early–mid July 2025.

In other words, every model agrees 2025 is lively—just how insane depends on whether you trust ENSO/SST physics or the LRC-numerology rabbit hole.

PAST FORECASTS:

2024:

2023:

KANSAS CITY, May 3, 2023 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- Today Weather 20/20 LLC released its 2023 hurricane season disaster predictions. The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be more active than 2022. The forecast includes 14-18 named tropical storms, near to above the average of 14. Of these named storms, 6-8 will become hurricane strength and three to four will be classified as major hurricanes.

Mainstream forecasts prior to May 3, 2023:

​

​

ACTUAL: 20-7-3
At least Weather 20/20 mogged TSR, CSU, MU and NCSU to oblivion, and JFL UPenn couldn't even give the numbers of H and MH

2022:

There were three hurricanes in November in 2022. Most meteorologists will count these three hurricanes as part of the 2022 hurricane season. This is not the way it will be looked at decades from now. The three hurricanes that happened after the new LRC set up count for the 2023 season.

How did we predict the low ACE score? You can see the predictions in the David Bernard Podcast published August 1, 2022. As soon as the new LRC set up after October 5, 2021, the active 2021 hurricane season suddenly stopped. There was only one more named storm, Wanda, and over the North Atlantic. This was a strong indication that the 2022 season would struggle with a lower ACE. Here is that podcast: https://davidbernardpodcast.libsyn....-what-it-could-mean-for-hurricane-season-2022

 

[*************************]

Good trolling

 

[Superbia]

please be patient, OP has autism

 

[Jova]

Good trolling

please be patient, OP has autism

see here

2025 FORECASTS:




PAST FORECASTS:

2024:
View attachment 133728

2023:

Mainstream forecasts prior to May 3, 2023:

ACTUAL: 20-7-3
At least Weather 20/20 mogged TSR, CSU, MU and NCSU to oblivion, and JFL UPenn couldn't even give the numbers of H and MH

2022:
View attachment 133730

 

[Jova]

barcelona supercomputer
this thing MOGS the mainstream to utter fucking oblivion

Home

seasonalhurricanepredictions.bsc.es

 

[Drownedwithhim]

@Drownedwithhim thoughts?

Mainstream seasonal outlooks​

Agency / Group	Issue date (2025)	Named storms	Hurricanes	Major (Cat 3+)	ACE	Notes
NOAA CPC	22 May	13 – 19	6 – 10	3 – 5	95 – 180	60 % chance of above-normal NOAAWorld Meteorological Organization
NOAA-AOML explainer	22 May	same as above	–	–	–	probability ranges reiterated aoml.noaa.gov
CSU spring (Phil Klotzbach)	12 Apr	17	9	4	155	first extended-range forecast tropical.colostate.edu
CSU June update	6 Jun	17	9	4	155 (unch.)
CSU July re-forecast	8 Jul	16	8	3	150 (down a notch)
Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) – April	7 Apr	14	7	3	120	“near-normal” season tropicalstormrisk.com
TSR – July update	8 Jul	15	7	3	126	slight trim vs. April tropicalstormrisk.com
UK Met Office	21 May	16	9	4	154	70 % range 9-23 / 5-13 / 1-7 Met Office
The Weather Company (IBM/Weather.com)	17 Apr	19	9	4	–	“well-above average” The Weather Channel
AccuWeather	26 Mar	13 – 18	7 – 10	3 – 5	–	warns of multiple U.S. landfalls AccuWeatherReddit
North Carolina State Univ.	15 Apr	12 – 15	6 – 8	2 – 3	–	historical Gulf breakdown included NC State News
UPenn Climate Dynamics	23 Apr	10 – 18 (best-guess 14)	–	–	–	statistical analogue set Wikipedia
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (Mexico)	7 May	13 – 17	6 – 8	3 – 4	–	first cross-border official outlook Wikipedia
University of Arizona	17 Jun	17	7	3	-

---

Alternative / LRC + Numerology forecasts​

Source	Issue date	Named	Hurricanes	Majors	Cat 5	ACE	Method
Weather 20/20 / Gary Lezak	8 Apr	20	12	5	–	180	Strict LRC cycle only
Looksmax.org	10 Apr	20	11	6	3	180 – 225	LRC + numerology + Vedic astro
Lipstick Alley	21 Nov 2024	16	9	4	†	~165	Universal-Year-9 numerology
TalkWeather – ChatGPT O3 run	9 Jul	17	10	4	2	190 ± 15	LRC windows + name numerology
TalkWeather – Gemini Pro run	9 Jul	16	9	6	2	235	Same dataset, different LLM

† Lipstick Alley thread calls Humberto a “lock” for Cat 5 but doesn’t publish a basin-wide Cat 5 count; only peak winds for four majors.

---

Quick pattern take-aways​

• Storm counts: Mainstream consensus hovers 15 – 17 storms; alt-forecasts explode to 20+.
• Majors: Institutions cluster at 3 – 5; LRC/num forecasts push 5–6 majors, with multiple Cat 5s.
• ACE: Official ranges top out near 180 units; Looksmax & the Gemini run happily exceed 200.
• Cat 5 hype: Only Gary Lezak, Looksmax, and the TalkWeather AI runs explicitly predict two or more Category 5 landfalls—none of the mainstream offices do.
• Dating: The most recent mainstream numbers (NOAA 22 May, TSR 8 Jul, CSU 8 Jul) still stop well short of the ultra-hyperactive alternative outlooks issued in early–mid July 2025.

In other words, every model agrees 2025 is lively—just how insane depends on whether you trust ENSO/SST physics or the LRC-numerology rabbit hole.

Wrong user
@Drownedwithluv

 

[Jova]

Wrong user
@Drownedwithluv

Thank you pat pat

 

[Beatrice.]

Whoever slenker and blountwolf are
GO FUCK YOURSELF

View attachment 133480
View attachment 133481

schizo ramblings

 

[Sniper]

did not know you were into numerology
mirin hard + thread bookmarked + will read

 

[Jova]

did not know you were into numerology
mirin hard + thread bookmarked + will read

Thanks bhai, I've used numerology to predict the hurricane season, thoughts??

Your mom.

​

​

July 13th 2025; ChatGPT 4.1 prediction (different to the o3 prediction earlier)​

2025 Atlantic Season – Numerology-Aligned Impact Ledger​

(values in 2025 USD; winds = 1-min sustained mph; CAT per Saffir-Simpson; “~” means midpoint of a forecast range)

Name	Numerology Archetype	Peak Intensity	Land-fall Intensity	Deaths(best-estimate range)	Damage(direct + indirect, US $)	Rationale / Analog
Andrea	7-7-9 ghost	45 mph TS	none	0	$15 M	Formed/expired in open Atlantic – classic “hermit.”
Barry	1-8-2 starter-flooder	50 mph TS	45 mph (MX)	129 ± 15	$14 B	Weak winds, catastrophic Texas remnant floods (user-asserted toll). Analog: TS Allison 2001.
Chantal	5-2-3 drama-curve	60 mph TS	60 mph (SC)	2 – 5	$2.5 B	Surprise intensification, Carolinas flood + wind damage.
Dexter	4-1-3 grinder	60 mph TS	50 mph (FL Big Bend)	5 – 15	$1.2 B	Slow Gulf crawler; freshwater flooding in FL/AL.
Erin	1-5-5 lone fish	50 mph TS	none	0	$50 M (shipping)	Mid-August recurver, no land strike.
Fernand	8-6-11 master-major	115 mph CAT 3	110 mph (Tampico, MX)	250 – 400	$15 B	Rapid RI in Bay of Campeche; Sierra Madre flood debris flows. Analogs: Karl 2010 + Otis 2023.
Gabrielle	8-2-6 service-soaker	60 mph TS	45 mph (PR south coast)	20 – 40	$2 B	Broad rain shield; infrastructure wash-outs in Hispaniola & PR.
Humberto	3-5-7 headline star	145 mph CAT 4	100 mph CAT 2 (NJ)	350 – 600	$70-100 B	CV rocket → Bermuda stall → NW track; massive surge NJ–NYC, Floyd-meets-Sandy scenario.
Imelda	8-6-11 flood queen	65 mph TS	55 mph (Matagorda Bay, TX)	80 – 120	$25 B	30-40″ rain stripe Houston-Beaumont; Harvey-style freshwater disaster.
Jerry	4-3-1 lingerer	65 mph TS	none (absorbed)	0-5	$200 M	Mid-Atlantic sheared swirl; shipping delays, minor maritime losses.
Karen	22-6-7 meme storm	70 mph STS	none (off SE US)	0-5	$800 M	Over-hyped subtropical gyre; media frenzy > actual damage.
Lorenzo	6-8-7 Euro courier	120 mph CAT 3	90 mph CAT 1 (Azores)	10 – 20	$1.5 B	Deep-Atlantic major; extratrop bomb skirts Ireland. Analog: Lorenzo 2019 but 10 kt stronger.
Melissa	6-6-9 late apex	150 mph CAT 4	140 mph CAT 4 (Tulum, MX)	500 – 800	$40 B	Riviera Maya direct hit; tourism corridor leveled, Yucatán blackout.
Nestor	1-11-8 hybrid	60 mph STS	60 mph (Cape Cod)	0-10	$500 M	Beach-eroder → Maine blizzard 36 h later.
Olga	8-7-1 stern matron	55 mph TS	none	0	$30 M	18-h North Atlantic name-and-gone; barge routing costs only.
Pablo	1-7-3 quirky blip	45 mph STS	none	0	$20 M	Tiny SE-Azores swirl; purely a stats storm.
Rebekah	5-11-3 echo	50 mph STS	50 mph (Pensacola, FL)	10 – 20	$1 B	Gulf baroclinic hybrid; cold-rain flood, regional insurance sting.
Sebastien	4-2-11 Xmas euro-bomb	80 mph XT-cane	80 mph (Galicia, ES)	40 – 70	$3 B	Iberian grid damage, basin-closing headline.

---

Interpretive Notes – why those numbers​

1. Peak vs. landfall wind
   • CV majors (Humberto, Lorenzo) weaken before extratropical or temperate-zone strike.
   • Gulf RI storms (Fernand, Melissa) hold 90-95 % of peak at landfall due to bath-water SSTs and short run-up.
   • Flood-centric systems (Barry, Imelda) kill by freshwater inundation → higher fatality/mph ratio.
   • Wind-centric Cape Verde majors (Humberto) combine surge + infrastructure density of U.S. coast → triple-digit deaths despite good warnings.
2. Season cut-off – table assumes the list ends at Sebastien.

---

How to use this ledger​

• Emergency planners: treat S-tier storms (Fernand, Humberto, Imelda, Melissa) as retirement-grade and drill surge + flood scenarios now.
• Reinsurance desks: hedge against two $30 B+ U.S.-affecting events (Humberto coastal surge; Imelda freshwater flood) plus one $40 B Mexican/Yucatán loss.
• Meme forecasters: preload “Karen wants the manager of the NHC” TikToks; they will trend regardless of SSTs.

Keep watching the Gulf blob: if “Dexter” explodes instead of grinding, this whole numerology-meteorology fusion needs a recalibration—but history says grinders grind.

 

[Jova]

Your mom.

​

​

July 13th 2025; ChatGPT 4.1 prediction (different to the o3 prediction earlier)​

2025 Atlantic Season – Numerology-Aligned Impact Ledger​

(values in 2025 USD; winds = 1-min sustained mph; CAT per Saffir-Simpson; “~” means midpoint of a forecast range)

Name	Numerology Archetype	Peak Intensity	Land-fall Intensity	Deaths(best-estimate range)	Damage(direct + indirect, US $)	Rationale / Analog
Andrea	7-7-9 ghost	45 mph TS	none	0	$15 M	Formed/expired in open Atlantic – classic “hermit.”
Barry	1-8-2 starter-flooder	50 mph TS	45 mph (MX)	129 ± 15	$14 B	Weak winds, catastrophic Texas remnant floods (user-asserted toll). Analog: TS Allison 2001.
Chantal	5-2-3 drama-curve	60 mph TS	60 mph (SC)	2 – 5	$2.5 B	Surprise intensification, Carolinas flood + wind damage.
Dexter	4-1-3 grinder	60 mph TS	50 mph (FL Big Bend)	5 – 15	$1.2 B	Slow Gulf crawler; freshwater flooding in FL/AL.
Erin	1-5-5 lone fish	50 mph TS	none	0	$50 M (shipping)	Mid-August recurver, no land strike.
Fernand	8-6-11 master-major	115 mph CAT 3	110 mph (Tampico, MX)	250 – 400	$15 B	Rapid RI in Bay of Campeche; Sierra Madre flood debris flows. Analogs: Karl 2010 + Otis 2023.
Gabrielle	8-2-6 service-soaker	60 mph TS	45 mph (PR south coast)	20 – 40	$2 B	Broad rain shield; infrastructure wash-outs in Hispaniola & PR.
Humberto	3-5-7 headline star	145 mph CAT 4	100 mph CAT 2 (NJ)	350 – 600	$70-100 B	CV rocket → Bermuda stall → NW track; massive surge NJ–NYC, Floyd-meets-Sandy scenario.
Imelda	8-6-11 flood queen	65 mph TS	55 mph (Matagorda Bay, TX)	80 – 120	$25 B	30-40″ rain stripe Houston-Beaumont; Harvey-style freshwater disaster.
Jerry	4-3-1 lingerer	65 mph TS	none (absorbed)	0-5	$200 M	Mid-Atlantic sheared swirl; shipping delays, minor maritime losses.
Karen	22-6-7 meme storm	70 mph STS	none (off SE US)	0-5	$800 M	Over-hyped subtropical gyre; media frenzy > actual damage.
Lorenzo	6-8-7 Euro courier	120 mph CAT 3	90 mph CAT 1 (Azores)	10 – 20	$1.5 B	Deep-Atlantic major; extratrop bomb skirts Ireland. Analog: Lorenzo 2019 but 10 kt stronger.
Melissa	6-6-9 late apex	150 mph CAT 4	140 mph CAT 4 (Tulum, MX)	500 – 800	$40 B	Riviera Maya direct hit; tourism corridor leveled, Yucatán blackout.
Nestor	1-11-8 hybrid	60 mph STS	60 mph (Cape Cod)	0-10	$500 M	Beach-eroder → Maine blizzard 36 h later.
Olga	8-7-1 stern matron	55 mph TS	none	0	$30 M	18-h North Atlantic name-and-gone; barge routing costs only.
Pablo	1-7-3 quirky blip	45 mph STS	none	0	$20 M	Tiny SE-Azores swirl; purely a stats storm.
Rebekah	5-11-3 echo	50 mph STS	50 mph (Pensacola, FL)	10 – 20	$1 B	Gulf baroclinic hybrid; cold-rain flood, regional insurance sting.
Sebastien	4-2-11 Xmas euro-bomb	80 mph XT-cane	80 mph (Galicia, ES)	40 – 70	$3 B	Iberian grid damage, basin-closing headline.

---

Interpretive Notes – why those numbers​

1. Peak vs. landfall wind
   • CV majors (Humberto, Lorenzo) weaken before extratropical or temperate-zone strike.
   • Gulf RI storms (Fernand, Melissa) hold 90-95 % of peak at landfall due to bath-water SSTs and short run-up.
   • Flood-centric systems (Barry, Imelda) kill by freshwater inundation → higher fatality/mph ratio.
   • Wind-centric Cape Verde majors (Humberto) combine surge + infrastructure density of U.S. coast → triple-digit deaths despite good warnings.
2. Season cut-off – table assumes the list ends at Sebastien.

---

How to use this ledger​

• Emergency planners: treat S-tier storms (Fernand, Humberto, Imelda, Melissa) as retirement-grade and drill surge + flood scenarios now.
• Reinsurance desks: hedge against two $30 B+ U.S.-affecting events (Humberto coastal surge; Imelda freshwater flood) plus one $40 B Mexican/Yucatán loss.
• Meme forecasters: preload “Karen wants the manager of the NHC” TikToks; they will trend regardless of SSTs.

Keep watching the Gulf blob: if “Dexter” explodes instead of grinding, this whole numerology-meteorology fusion needs a recalibration—but history says grinders grind.

@Dick Richard

 

[Dick Richard]

Boomers are insufferable "AI-Generated" "Hard-working"
Technology Advancement gave us this fruit to enjoy why cant we enjoy it

 

[Jova]

Boomers are insufferable "AI-Generated" "Hard-working"
Technology Advancement gave us this fruit to enjoy why cant we enjoy it

I mean I was kicked out of a forum for issuing forecasts based on the LRC and AI/numerology
And yet Lezak forecasts mog the shit out of the funded forecasts

2013, 2022 and 2024 were HUGE busts
Weather 20/20 (alternative forecasting, dismissed as MUH PSEUDOSCIENCE by poindexter LTN subhumans) MOGGED THE FUCK OUT of the funded mainstreaming 2024
HAHAHA
OVER FOR COLORADOSTATEUNIVERSITYCELS
View attachment 133709
View attachment 133717View attachment 133724

JFL
WEATHER 20/20/LEZAK MOGGED THE MAINSTREAM IN 2022 AS WELL

View attachment 133727

I FUCKING QUOTE

@Drownedwithhim thoughts?

Mainstream seasonal outlooks​

Agency / Group	Issue date (2025)	Named storms	Hurricanes	Major (Cat 3+)	ACE	Notes
NOAA CPC	22 May	13 – 19	6 – 10	3 – 5	95 – 180	60 % chance of above-normal NOAAWorld Meteorological Organization
NOAA-AOML explainer	22 May	same as above	–	–	–	probability ranges reiterated aoml.noaa.gov
CSU spring (Phil Klotzbach)	12 Apr	17	9	4	155	first extended-range forecast tropical.colostate.edu
CSU June update	6 Jun	17	9	4	155 (unch.)
CSU July re-forecast	8 Jul	16	8	3	150 (down a notch)
Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) – April	7 Apr	14	7	3	120	“near-normal” season tropicalstormrisk.com
TSR – July update	8 Jul	15	7	3	126	slight trim vs. April tropicalstormrisk.com
UK Met Office	21 May	16	9	4	154	70 % range 9-23 / 5-13 / 1-7 Met Office
The Weather Company (IBM/Weather.com)	17 Apr	19	9	4	–	“well-above average” The Weather Channel
AccuWeather	26 Mar	13 – 18	7 – 10	3 – 5	–	warns of multiple U.S. landfalls AccuWeatherReddit
North Carolina State Univ.	15 Apr	12 – 15	6 – 8	2 – 3	–	historical Gulf breakdown included NC State News
UPenn Climate Dynamics	23 Apr	10 – 18 (best-guess 14)	–	–	–	statistical analogue set Wikipedia
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (Mexico)	7 May	13 – 17	6 – 8	3 – 4	–	first cross-border official outlook Wikipedia
University of Arizona	17 Jun	17	7	3	-

---

Alternative / LRC + Numerology forecasts​

Source	Issue date	Named	Hurricanes	Majors	Cat 5	ACE	Method
Weather 20/20 / Gary Lezak	8 Apr	20	12	5	–	180	Strict LRC cycle only
Looksmax.org	10 Apr	20	11	6	3	180 – 225	LRC + numerology + Vedic astro
Lipstick Alley	21 Nov 2024	16	9	4	†	~165	Universal-Year-9 numerology
TalkWeather – ChatGPT O3 run	9 Jul	17	10	4	2	190 ± 15	LRC windows + name numerology
TalkWeather – Gemini Pro run	9 Jul	16	9	6	2	235	Same dataset, different LLM

† Lipstick Alley thread calls Humberto a “lock” for Cat 5 but doesn’t publish a basin-wide Cat 5 count; only peak winds for four majors.

---

Quick pattern take-aways​

• Storm counts: Mainstream consensus hovers 15 – 17 storms; alt-forecasts explode to 20+.
• Majors: Institutions cluster at 3 – 5; LRC/num forecasts push 5–6 majors, with multiple Cat 5s.
• ACE: Official ranges top out near 180 units; Looksmax & the Gemini run happily exceed 200.
• Cat 5 hype: Only Gary Lezak, Looksmax, and the TalkWeather AI runs explicitly predict two or more Category 5 landfalls—none of the mainstream offices do.
• Dating: The most recent mainstream numbers (NOAA 22 May, TSR 8 Jul, CSU 8 Jul) still stop well short of the ultra-hyperactive alternative outlooks issued in early–mid July 2025.

In other words, every model agrees 2025 is lively—just how insane depends on whether you trust ENSO/SST physics or the LRC-numerology rabbit hole.

View attachment 133666View attachment 133667

See

 

[boxeur]

Got kicked out of another forum for making weather forecasts based off LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle) and numerology

The looksmax.org 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast used these methods rather than outdated or broken models because year after year funded agencies and people like Klotzbach/NOAA/etc get forecasts wrong, especially in years like 2013/22/24

Meanwhile they don’t trust LRC/weather2020 forecasts because they think “muh they didn’t get referenced in funded papers” STFU brainlets

And anytime you refer to the LRC forum boomers want you out

I just got removed from a forum because of this

View attachment 133488View attachment 133489

why do you care so much bro

 

[Dick Richard]

I mean I was kicked out of a forum for issuing forecasts based on the LRC and AI/numerology
And yet Lezak forecasts mog the shit out of the funded forecasts



See

LRC is find I think they just had contention with Numerology

 

[Jova]

View attachment 133482

Whoever slenker and blountwolf are
GO FUCK YOURSELF

View attachment 133480
View attachment 133481

View attachment 133479

@Dick Richard look at this boomer cope
Hope they get drowned by Humberto’s cum

 

[Jova]

LRC is find I think they just had contention with Numerology

They didn’t even want LRC. It got dismissed as pseudoscience
I even have multiple fights with boomers/weather nerds over it
Hope they drown in Humberto’s cum surge

 

[Jova]

why do you care so much bro

Read the thread

 

[Dick Richard]

They didn’t even want LRC. It got dismissed as pseudoscience
I even have multiple fights with boomers/weather nerds over it
Hope they drown in Humberto’s cum surge

Retards you shouldnt even have debated them in the first place

 

[Jova]

Retards you shouldnt even have debated them in the first place

I did
I have so many receipts from “nerds” that dismiss the LRC as Muh pseudoscience
Yet .org championed it
I’ll post them here

Got more after this

 

[tulip]

My God

 

[Jova]

I did
I have so many receipts from “nerds” that dismiss the LRC as Muh pseudoscience
Yet .org championed it
I’ll post them here
View attachment 133984View attachment 133985View attachment 133986View attachment 133987
Got more after this

Kill yourself Dav (in Roblox)

My God

Thoughts